IT was an interesting week on the auction and the forward markets.
After more than 20 auction days of gains, most Merino qualities gave ground into the week’s close. The forward markets finished the week on a cautious note after posting strong hedging levels into June/July and out until the spring.
Post-Easter the 21 micron contract traded to a new high of 1455 cents on Tuesday before closing yesterday down 30 cents, mirroring the auction decline. New season bids held up well and although we expect some easing in levels through next week, we are hopeful sound hedging opportunities will prevail.
We expect interest to hold on the 21 contract through May and June at around 1420 cents, easing to 1380 cents into the early Spring and 1360 cents into the end of the year. The 19 micron contract levels are 1750 cents in August, but fall away to 1700 cents in September and to 1650 into the end of the year.
Trade summary
May 21 micron 1455 cents 5 tonnes
June 18 micron 2070 cents 16 tonnes
June 19 micron 1800/1810 cents 9 tonnes
July 19 micron 1800 cents 10 tonnes
July 18.5 Put Option 1880 strike 40 cent premium 4 tonnes
Aug 21 Put Option 1450 strike 55 cent premium 5 tonnes
Sept 19 micron 1725 cents 10 tonnes
Sept 21 micron 1400 cents 14 tonnes
Oct 21 micron 1380/1390 cents 4.5 tonnes
Nov 19 micron 1700 cents 12.5 tonnes
Nov 21 micron 1390 cents 20 tonnes
Dec 18 micron 1850 cents 2 tonnes
Jan 19 micron 1675 cents 5 tonnes
Total 117 tonnes
Source: Southern Aurora Wool.
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