“You don’t have to see the whole staircase, just take the first step” – Martin Luther King Jr
FORWARD wool trading remained cautious as all micron groups in the spot auction market posted solid gains of 1-2 percent.
More than 96 percent of the 32,000 bales offered this week at auctions were sold. Prices for the key 19 and 21 micron groups are now approaching the top for their ranges for this calendar year.
Forwards remained bid flat to cash for the prompt window and a slight discount for the early spring.
Growers have begun their first tentative steps setting levels for seasons start and out to the end of the year at a one to two percent premiums to cash. Buyers continue to stay justifiably cautious with processors stuck in their ‘just in time’ purchase program.
Macro-economic conditions and lack of consumer confidence still weigh on the minds of pipeline participants, but tight supply conditions could stimulate a change in attitude.
With only 28,000 bales next week, we are likely to see the delicate balance of supply and demand should prices to remain solid. While currency has lingered in a narrow band any increase in demand could stimulate opportunities for growers looking to hedge into the spring and summer.
Premiums for mid-2025 to 2026 are still set at 3 percent, indicating forward confidence but concern that medium term recovery is still a little time away
This week’s trade
December 20 micron 1375 cents 5 tonnes
Total 5 tonnes
Source – Southern Aurora Markets.
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